Climate & Science Prediction Markets
14 live markets sorted by volume
Market
Price24hVolume
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
54%
0.0%
$10.5K
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?
10%
-0.1%
$8.6K
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
1%
+0.3%
$5.2K
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
1%
+0.1%
$3.8K
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?
51%
+1.0%
$3.8K
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?
24%
+0.5%
$3.5K
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
2%
+0.1%
$3.2K
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?
1%
-0.2%
$2.9K
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
16%
0.0%
$2.8K
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
10%
0.0%
$2.5K
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
0%
0.0%
$2.4K
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
35%
+3.0%
$2.4K
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
6%
+0.5%
$2.3K
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?
5%
+0.1%
$2.3K